Moral Economics

...welfare state operates, involves “after-market” intervention: Let the markets rip, but then use progressive taxes and redistributive transfers to make the end result fairer...

...This is, incidentally, a 57 percent increase in the cost to employers...

...What is remarkable, however, is how this rather iffy result has been seized upon by some liberals as a rationale for making large minimum wage increases a core component of the liberal agenda-for arguing that living wages “can play an important role in reversing the 25-year decline in wages experienced by most working people in America” (as this book‘s back cover has it...

...But after a century marked by both the Great Depression-which basically ended unalloyed faith in markets-and the fall of communism, most people support some version of the welfare state: a system that is based on markets, but in which the government tries to prevent too unequal a distribution of income...

...The “living wage” movement, which has attracted considerable support in several major U.S...

...Card and Krueger offered some complex theoretical rationales, but most of their colleagues are unconvinced...

...cities, is a variant on this tradition...

...The obvious economist’s reply is, if paying higher wages is such a good idea, why aren’t companies doing it voluntarily...

...This theoretical prediction has, however, been hard to confirm with actual data...

...And the idea that employment “of the affected workers” will not suffer because the affected wages are only a small part of costs is a non sequitur at best...

...As described in Robert Pollin and Stephanie Luce’s new book Living Wage, it essentially involves putting a floor on wages not through a conventional minimum wage law, but by requiring minimum wage standards of firms that do business with a local government...

...Aside from novel enforcement issues (I know this lawyer who will explain to you about creating dummy companies for the contract work, leaving the rest of the business unregulated), this is basically a distinction without a difference: The living wage movement is simply a move to raise minimum wages through local action...

...They don’t want people to “have” a decent income, they want them to “earn” it, not be dependent on demeaning handouts...

...The most interesting section is their estimates of the impact of living-wage proposals on the budgets of hypothetical families-estimates that perhaps give us the clue to what all this is really about...

...Its advocates are basically opposed to the idea that wages are a market price-determined by supply and demand, the same as the price of apples or coal...

...the centrist view is probably that minimum wages “do,” in fact, reduce employment, but that the effects are small and swamped by other forces...

...But I suspect there is another, deeper issue herenamely, that even without political constraints, advocates of a living wage would not be satisfied with any plan that relies on after-market redistribution...

...In short, what the living wage is really about is not living standards, or even economics, but morality...

...Instead, they want to increase “market” wages, notably through support of collective bargaining, and through the imposition of minimum wage standards...

...Indeed, this is a popular view among economists who favor national minimum-wage increases: They will admit to their colleagues that such increases are not the best way to help the poor, but argue that it is the only politically feasible option...

...And one supposes that there are still unrepentant socialists who believe that one can do away with market determination of incomes altogether...

...Clearly these advocates very much want to believe that the price of labor-unlike that of gasoline, or Manhattan apartments-can be set based on considerations of justice, not supply and demand, without unpleasant side effects...

...This will to believe is obvious in this book: The authors not only take the Card-Krueger results as gospel, but advance a number of other arguments that just do not hold up under examination...

...And it is for that reason, rather than the practical details, that the broader political movement of which the demand for a living wage is the leading edge is ultimately doomed to failure: For the amorality of the market economy is part of its essence, and cannot be legislated away...

...According to their estimates, as long as he or she remained fully employed, the living-wage law would raise earned income from $10,860 to $14,500-and also mandate $2,500 in health coverage...

...This latter claim is wishful thinking of the first order: Since when do we think that cost increases are not passed on to customers if they are small enough...

...Conversely, nobody needs special persuasion to take advantage of an underemployed resource: Abundance will make it cheap, and again self-interest will take it from there...

...Their calculations also show that most of the gains from the living wage proposal would be offset by reductions in these other redistributive programs...

...how could the authors have failed to notice the parallel...

...PAUL KRUGMAN is a professor of economics at MIT...

...the rest is taken away as benefits decline...

...But while there is much that is silly in their book, Pollin and Luce are diligent and honest-and as a result the book carries lessons and implications they may not have intended...

...Consider, for example, the effects of “Plan Y” (never mind) on the hypothetical head of a household, currently making $5.43 an hour...

...Imagine that a new local law required supermarkets to sell milk at, say, 25 cents a gallon...

...So what are the effects of increasing minimum wages...

...Labor, in a market system, is just another commodity...

...And this may be a smart move if you believe that America should do more for its working poor, but that if it comes down to spending money on-budget it won’t...

...Why not give them the money directly, say, via an increase in the tax credit...

...And yet there is a problem with markets: They are absolutely and relentlessly amoral...

...The loss in revenue would be only a small fraction of each supermarket’s total sales-but do you really think that milk would be just as available as before...

...Indeed, only about one-fifth of the mandated increase in wages and benefits actually gets manifested in disposable income...

...In a market economy, nobody needs to order people to economize on a scarce commodity or make extra efforts to produce it: Scarcity leads to a high price, and sheer self-interest does the rest...

...Some conservatives have managed to convince themselves that this poses no moral dilemma, that whatever is, is just...

...Exactly what to make of this result is a source of great dispute...

...Any Econ 101 student can tell you the answer: The higher wage reduces the quantity of labor demanded, and hence leads to unemployment...

...But in any case there is a fundamental flaw in the argument: Surely the benefits of low turnover and high morale in your work force come not from paying a high wage, but from paying a high wage “compared with other companies”and that is precisely what mandating an increase in the minimum wage for all companies cannot accomplish...

...Indeed, much-cited studies by two well-regarded labor economists, David Card and Alan Krueger, find that where there have been more or less controlled experiments, for example when New Jersey raised minimum wages but Pennsylvania did not, the effects of the increase on employment have been negligible or even positive...

...According to their numbers, that family would currently pay less than $900 in taxes while receiving some $9,700 in benefits such as food stamps, Earned Income Tax Credit, and health care...

...One answer is political: What a shift from income supports to living wage legislation does is to move the costs of income redistribution off-budget...

...Now to me, at least, the obvious question is, why take this route...

...The standard economist’s solution, which is also the main way the U.S...

...What makes this an odd oversight is that the book contains a lengthy and rather well-done critique of attempts by local governments to create jobs through investment incentives, arguing that they mainly end up in a zero-sum poaching war...

...you have to have a lot of faith in Card-Krueger not to worry that some jobs might be lost...

...the wage a man or woman can command has nothing to do with how much he or she needs to make to support a family or to feel part of the broader society...

...For example, the authors argue at length that because only a fraction of the work force in the firms affected by living wage proposals will be affected, total costs will be increased by only 1 or 2 percentand that as a result, not only will there be no significant reduction in employment, but the extra cost will be absorbed out of profits rather than passed on in higher prices...

...But how is that to be accomplished...

...However, many liberals have always felt that this solution is unsatisfactory...

...They also argue that because there are cases in which companies paying above-market wages reap offsetting gains in the form of lower turnover and greater worker loyalty, raising minimum wages will lead to similar gains...

...Indeed, Pollin and Luce proudly display their estimates of the increase in the share of disposable income that is earned, not granted...

...Why increase the cost of labor to employers so sharply, which-CardIKrueger notwithstanding-must pose a significant risk of pricing some workers out of the market, in order to give those workers so little extra income...

...Moral Economics What the campaign for a living wage is really about By Paul Krugman ECONOMICS TEXTBOOKS enthuse about the virtues of a price system...