ON POLITICAL BOOKS: Lie in the Sky
Fallows, James
Lie in the Sky d How Edward Teller sold America on Star Wars by James Fallows his is a very good book* with a small skeleton Ti n its closet. Let’s do justice to its merits first. William...
...Reagan gave a speech in which he proclaimed, “For the fist time ever, everything is in place for the battle of Armageddon and the second coming of Christ...
...He stood before any audience as a celebrated if controversial genius...
...He says that Lowell Wood, the Teller protCgC who was a relentless cheerleader for the project, had hoped that Star Warriors would be a “glowing account...
...It reflected what was simultaneously the best and worst about Reagan: his tendency to latch onto big, appealing ideas without getting bogged down in the details...
...The challenge for the x-ray laser also concerned “enough-ness”-whether the beams would be strong enough to destroy their targets, controllable enough to be aimed, and reliable enough to bet the nation’s future on...
...Such promising new technologies...
...You can cut taxes and not cut spending, and the deficit will take care of itself...
...But he didn’t understand the Vietnam corollary: that one year ago, or 15, he should have said, “I was against the Vietnam war, and here are the things I’m proud of about my behavior, and here is what I feel bad about...
...Since then, I have learned much more about the subject...
...If they didn’t work at all, they would obviously be useless...
...My complaint about Broad is not that he has changed his mind...
...With the proper aiming system, it could shoot down enemy missiles before they got anywhere near their targets in the United States...
...Outside government, in the prolonged PR battle over the feasibility of Star Wars, Teller’s role was also crucial...
...President...
...It can be done...
...If it seemed likely to succeed, and if they had not developed an offsetting x-ray laser of their own, then they might feel naked and exposed, and be the funding network that is used to pick outpromisThe most interesting part of this chronicle is Broad’s analysis of why Teller, undoubtedly a brilliant man, became so intellectually dishonest...
...But there is a complication...
...Up at the surface, they would measure the few readings the sensors could send out before the equipment was obliterated...
...Future editions might include lines like these: I’ve been interested in this story for a long time, and several years ago I wrote about these same characters and many of the same projects in a book called Star Warriors...
...the laser beam is merely a side effect of the nuclear explosion...
...The challenge is to get enough power to run the car at a reasonable speed for a reasonable price...
...Broad is very good at presenting complex technical matters clearly, and also at putting his material together as a narrative...
...Teller spent much of the eighties asking for money for this project because, as he insisted over and over, tests showed that it would work...
...What I have learned has made me change my mind about some things and to reach conclusions about other questions that were unresolved or unresolvable before...
...There is nothing terribly surprising about this...
...This physical fact meant that, if tempted to act preemptively to defend themselves...
...Broad says that if Teller’s background had been more fully known, the press and politicians might have been even more skeptical of his biases, because at several points in the preceding decades he had exaggerated the performance and scientific merit of weapons he wanted Congress to approve...
...Strapped next to the bomb is a bundle of very thin metal tubes, each several feet long...
...Journalism is a continuing and inherently imperfect effort to make sense of the news of our time...
...cally fearful of American technology, but presumably they would know enough about the project to realize it was nowhere near deployment...
...when Caspar Weinberger was on his way to Capitol Hill to tell Congress that the x-ray laser was indispensable, he kept asking a technical expert, “But it isn’t a bomb, is it...
...The evangelical steam has now gone out of Star Wars, with the departure fist of Reagan from the White House and then of the Soviet Union from the family of nations...
...But Broad says that he was one of the many scientists who depend on collaborators to critiing young scientists and lure them to Livermore...
...Then it was many months and many millions of dollars until the next test could be run...
...To spell out the solar car comparison: Scientists long ago concluded that sunlight would produce some electric power from photovoltaic cells...
...The Livermore scientists were talented but had no franchise to challenge Teller, their patron, head on...
...This program was “most dangerous,” Broad argues, because the Soviets were so terrified of it...
...The “most dangerous” claim seems a little pumped up, especially since Broad spends the rest of the book arguing that the pop-up x-ray laser never had a chance of succeeding...
...It is also unnecessary-just like Bill Clinton’s claims, before his letter to Colonel Holmes was released, that a lucky number in the lottery was all that had kept him out of Vietnam...
...But, Broad now claims, Star Warriors “depicted him as a headstrong visionary making extravagant claims and his subordinates as far more candid about the x-ray laser’s weaknesses...
...That is the vision...
...Broad briefly mentions the existence of the previous book in the current one, and his footnote section contains numerous “reference” notes to Star Warriors as the source of anecdotes recycled here...
...Simon and Schuster...
...He refers to Star Warriors in a way that makes it sound as if it, too, had taken a wholly skeptical view of the x-ray laser project...
...This was a rule of thumb, devised by the venerable arms expert Paul Nitze, which held that before the United States invested in a strategic defense system, we had to be sure that the system would be cheaper than the extra weapons it would take the Soviets to overwhelm it...
...But by the end of the eighties, Broad says, it had become obvious to everyone that the x-ray laser would not work within the foreseeable future...
...The x-ray lasers could not patrol permanently in orbit, because then they could, in theory, be wiped out by the Soviets as part of a surprise attack...
...In 1981, he began to say that one of the necessary miracles had occurred: the election of Ronald Reagan...
...William Broad...
...In the early eighties, Teller again made a crucial difference, Broad says, by legitimizing Reagan’s strategic defense proposals both inside and outside the government...
...In pushing his x-ray laser plans, Teller had to work against the limits of the “Nitze Criterion...
...Broad says that laymen weren’t the only ones confused on this point...
...Otherwise, a costly system would just push the Soviets to add more warheads, leaving everyone worse off...
...In order to tell this new story correctly, I have had to go over a lot of material that I have used before, this time with a different slant and perspective...
...On the contrary, scientists far and wide recognize that being correct just five percent of the time in the field of theorizing can produce a dazzling career, if the insights are important...
...On the way up, the resistance is greatest when the beam is strongest and most focused, and the farther the beam goes the less resistance it meets...
...The bomb goes off...
...Star whores The invention whose history Broad tells in this book is the x-ray laser, a very different device from what most laymen would infer from the name...
...The defender would have to shoot down, through the increasingly dense atmosphere, to intercept missiles on the rise...
...Such engaging and smart young men...
...But, Broad says, “His career was one long demonstration of the fact that his scientific gifts worked only in a social context”: As with most science romantics, the vast majority of Teller’s ideas were wrong...
...That is, defense had to be inherently cheaper than offense...
...He wanted to be what the public thought he was: the solitary hero...
...Bill Clinton understood the Gary Hart side of this principle when he and his wife held their famous meeting with reporters last year to disclose that their marriage had not been “perfect...
...The two main dramatic elements of the story-Teller’s struggle to sell Star Wars and the scientific struggle to make a workable x-ray laser-complement each other throughout the book...
...His scientific peers were capable of discarding the cockeyed majority of his ideas and working out the details of the few that indicated brilliant possibilities...
...X-ray laser beams can travel indefinitely through the vacuum of space, but they weaken quickly when traveling through the earth’s atmosphere...
...Its active ingredient, so to speak, is a nuclear bomb...
...This, to put it mildly, is not the main impression I took from the book...
...When he became powerful and famous enough to set his own terms, he removed himself from exactly the peer criticism he needed to accomplish his best work...
...There was yet another complication for x-ray lasers...
...Like many nuclear-freeze and ban-the-bomb protesters, Reagan seemed to view the doctrine of nuclear deterrence as basically immoral: Some day it was bound to break down, and at that point everyone would die...
...No matter how suspicious Teller’s opponents might have been of his motives, it was simply impossible to debate with him on equal terms...
...On the basis of extensive interviews, declassified documents, and official reports, Broad substantiates the charge he makes on the book’s first page, that Teller deliberately overstated how well the x-ray laser was doing: Over the protests of colleagues, Teller misled the highest officials of the United States govemment on a critical issue of national security, paving the way for a multibillion-dollar deception in which a dream of peace concealed the most dangerous military program of all time...
...The Soviets might be chroniboth sides developed x-ray lasers, the advantage would swing to the one planning the surprise attack...
...Douglas Ginsburg lost his chance for the Supreme Court because he’d smoked marijuana...
...The main characters, human and technological, are virtually identical...
...It made a huge difference, therefore, to have one of the world’s most famous physicists on hand to say, “Yes, Mr...
...By the end of the decade, the first ques- Teller wanted to be what the public thought he was: the solitary hero...
...A few years before he became president, James Fallows is the Washington editor of The Atlantic and a contributina editor ofThe Washington Monthly...
...In the fleeting instants before its heat and shock waves vaporize the whole assemblage, radiation from the explosion is expressed as a focused x-ray beam channeled through the tubes...
...On the contrary, it is much to his credit that he’s stuck with the subject for so many years and that he is willing now to present a different view from what he understood several years ago...
...Teller’s War presents a techno-political history of Star Wars through the intertwined narratives of one man and one invention...
...Teller made himself comfortable with this arrangement, Broad argues, but discredited himself permanently...
...This attempt at repositioning is unworthy of the otherwise extremely admirable job Broad has done...
...The main difference is like that in a Rashomon tale: the different moral shading given to the same set of events...
...Thirty years earlier, Teller had been the most prominent scientist to side against J. Robert Oppenheimer when Oppenheimer was accused of disloyalty...
...These two camps of yes-men will have a lot to answer for in the history books...
...In fulfilling this role, Teller became the defense counterpart of the supply-side economic advisers who were telling Reagan at just the same time, “Yes, Mr...
...In deciding whether to go with the x-ray laser, therefore, the government had to resolve several questions: whether it would work at all, how much it would cost if it did work, and how long the Soviets would take to develop their own version...
...To say that its subject is similar to that of Teller> War would be quite an understatement...
...Star Warriors was much more a descriptive than an analytic account, because Broad had the opportunity to spend a week at the Livermore labs...
...Lie in the Sky d How Edward Teller sold America on Star Wars by James Fallows his is a very good book* with a small skeleton Ti n its closet...
...Researchers would dig a tunnel several thousand feet into the ground, put a bomb with its attached laser-generating rods at the bottom, lower some sensing equipment next to the bomb, run wires up from the sensors to the surface, fill in the holeand then BOOM...
...The x-ray laser would not work, at least not within a reasonable time and at reasonable cost...
...There is the sociology of science, including a description cize, test, and react to their ideas...
...In the pre-Reagan years, Teller had given long, doom-laden speeches about the inevitable Soviet triumph-unless the West was rescued by “several miracles...
...If Teller said that new discoveries really would make Star Wars feasible, people were bound to give his views weight...
...On the inside, Teller was able to tell Reagan that the project the president had long dreamed ofbuilding a perfect shield against incoming warheads, which would make nuclear weapons “impotent and obsolete”-was not just a dream but could in fact be attained...
...Teller was wonderfully creative and spewed out a nonstop stream of new ideas...
...Teller-like Einstein, Oppenheimer, or other great physicists-was perceived by the general public as a lone genius...
...One big barrier on this road from “some” to “enough” was the nuclear testing system itself...
...The same bright young scientists are wrestling with the same moral dilemmas and scientific mysteries...
...On the way down, the resistance gets worse and worse...
...Politicians and scientists knew that he was not politically neutral...
...No problem...
...That Star Wars ever came this far, Broad argues, is largely due to the efforts of one man -or maybe two, if you count Reagan himself...
...But it probably would not have made a difference...
...They, like Reagan, basically believed that it would work...
...But the Star Wars budget rolls on-some $4 billion will go into the program this year...
...Debate and switch So far, so good...
...But-and this is the main political point of Broad’s book-that decision took more time and much, much more money than it should have, mainly because of Teller...
...At the same time, the Star Wars planners had to conceive of a “pop-up” system that would get the laser-producing bombs into orbit as soon as a Soviet attack was detected...
...The same Edward Teller and his chief acolyte, Lowell Wood, are exhorting the youngsters in their same cluttered cubicles...
...Brilliant and quirky young researchers, most of whom had come to the Lawrence Livermore laboratories under Teller’s patronage, had determined that some amount of x-ray laser response could be produced under the right conditions...
...The book includes a wonderful vignette of Los tion had been resolved negatively and the other two rendered moot (as Broad demonstrates in his clear and engrossing way...
...In one test, the laser beam was only one tenth as bright as Teller’s team had been expecting...
...In structure, the book was like a long newspaper feature piece, with minute-by-minute accounts of how the characters talked and what they ate, used as a vehicle for general discussion of Star Wars, nuclear strategy, and the frontiers of physical research...
...But many of the young scientists say their creations will actually bring about an era of unprecedented peace, because the world will know that the threat of nuclear attack from space has forever been laid to rest...
...Broad explains not only the technology behind these struggles, but the politics and sociology as well...
...Many of the same anecdotes and establishing details are used to bring the characters to life...
...If all the engineering details have been worked out correctly, this beam can, in principle, travel across long distances and blast holes in enemy satellites or missiles...
...There is an endless background theme of bureaucratic rivalry, espec i a1 1 y between Te 11 er ’ s Livermore labs and Los Alamos, which was fighting for the same research money and was skeptical of the x-ray laser from the start...
...William Broad, a well-known science correspondent for The New York Times, has covered the political, technical, and military implications of the Star Wars program almost since the day Ronald Reagan proposed it in 1983...
...No problem...
...But Broad makes no serious attempt to disclose how much his perspective has changed, and at one point he even tries to conceal the difference...
...Clinton could have said from the beginning what he said in his letter, and Broad could have added a few sentences, in the preface or epilogue to his book, explaining the journey he’d made in his effort to learn the truth...
...The prevailing tone of the account was, if not exactly naive, innocent and upbeat...
...The “pop-up” process would require very sophisticated sensing, launching, and aiming systemsand virtually unlimited amounts of money...
...But if they worked too well-if it were too easy for the Soviets to figure out how to use them -then they would ultimately be useless too...
...Teller’s War: The Top-Secret Story Behind the Star Wars Deception...
...The underlying scientific principlewhich was obviously much more complex in the case of the x-ray laser-had been established...
...And Teller’s often were...
...But Teller was apparently vain about his reliance on collaborators...
...My main conclusion about life is that nine tenths of its embarrassment and ten tenths of its mental strain come from the attempt to hide inconvenient facts...
...So when he became powerful and famous enough to set his own terms, he removed himself from exactly the peer criticism he needed to accomplish his best work...
...Early in his career, Teller either wanted or couldn’t avoid second-guessing by his colleagues...
...It was like the owner of a new car suddenly discovering that his engine produced 10 horsepower instead of the 100 advertised by the dealer...
...A nuclear shield would provide a way out of this depressing dilemma (at least from America’s perspective, although it would presumably leave the Soviet Union utterly exposed to nuclear attack), but only if it could actually be built...
...If the only thing you knew about Broad was that he had written this book, or that he’d won the Pulitzer prize for his science reporting, your sole reaction would be, well done...
...Many critics of Star Wars, in Congress and in the press, weren’t really sure of the difference between a quantum level and a quark...
...Reagan’s yearning for a perfect shield was obviously not the result of his own careful, Jimmy Carter-like study of ballistic technology...
...Still, Broad has no trouble proving that it was a bad idea...
...There is ethical tension: Some of Teller’s subordinates discover that he is cooking the information before presenting it to Reagan and the public, and they must consider whether to risk their careers by revealing the truth...
...This they did in the underground test chambers outside Las Vegas, but the process was cumbersome and expensive...
...This means that the lasers are inherently better at shooting up, from the atmosphere toward targets in space, than they are at shooting down, from space to targets that are still in the atmosphere...
...The story is now much closer to its conclusion, and in this book I present what I believe to be its true shape...
...In order to succeed, it would have only to shoot up and disable the other’s defensive equipment in space...
...My previous effort represented the best information available to me at that time...
...The problem is that he hasn’t been completely forthcoming about what he has done...
...Learning from his example, A1 Gore, Bruce Babbitt, and others preemptively disclosed that they’d done the same, so there was nothing left to be “revealed” in a campaign...
...Because of Clinton’s experience, the next non-veteran who runs for president will presumably get his explanation out early...
...In 1985, Broad published a book called Star Warriors...
...President...
...The man is of course Edward Teller, the crazy-genius Hungarian refugee who in the late forties played a crucial role in developing the American hydrogen bomb...
...Teller’s opponents in the Star Wars fight usually attributed his views to simple political bias, but Broad says there was a much deeper root in Teller’s intellectual style...
...Broad wrote of x-ray lasers at the time: As the bomb at the core of an x-ray battle station exploded, multiple beams would flash out to strike multiple targets before the entire station consumed itself in a ball of nuclear fire...
...Alamos scientists whooping with glee when they run an independent test of the x-ray laser and find that it is much weaker than Teller has been claiming...
...Every time the scientists wanted to test a new hypothesis about x-ray lasers, or even check out a new engineering idea, they had to set off an atomic explosion...
...By the time of the x-ray laser, his ideas were “tested” mainly by an ignoramus president and a crew of scientists his grandchildren’s age...
...By implication, it became obvious (and Broad dug out the documents to prove it) that Teller had deliberately misled Reagan, Weinberger, and the world about the feasibility of the xray laser...
...The scientific problems were, in a loose sense, comparable to those involved in perfecting a solarpowered car...
Vol. 24 • April 1992 • No. 4
