THEGOP WELL RUNS DRY

The GOP Weil Runs Dry Despite claims to the contrary, fund-raising by Republican campaigns and organizations in Washington (the national committee, the House and Senate campaign committees) is...

...But anxiety at the grass roots over the lack of direction of congressional Republicans is the big downer in money-raising...
...It's going to be a few months before the trial begins, and Public Citizen says it will fight the FEC...
...But how he'll achieve this remains to be seen...
...The money was used in a "Boot Newt" campaign that included television ads and direct mail tarring Gingrich as a hypocrite and labeling him a "sellout...
...The study did note," the first lady concedes, "that children who spend a great deal of time in child care tend to have slightly weaker relationships with their mothers...
...The GOP Weil Runs Dry Despite claims to the contrary, fund-raising by Republican campaigns and organizations in Washington (the national committee, the House and Senate campaign committees) is suffering badly...
...Most tendentious of all is first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton, whose column blesses the study in its first sentence as bringing "peace of mind to millions of parents who work outside the home": Children in day care "are just as well off intellectually as children cared for at home by full-time mothers...
...Why won't Paxon, given his popularity among Republicans, run for speaker himself...
...With any luck, they'll end up settling for a $300,000 fine...
...But that would only mollify his increasingly frustrated conservative colleagues if Lott joined the fight vigorously enough to produce 34 votes against the treaty—in which case the administration would pull out...
...He's not ready (at age 42) and would probably lose to Armey anyway...
...To be fair, there's also a seasonal reason: Fund-raising normally dips after a presidential race, especially after a losing one...
...And bring on the columnists...
...He'll stay on as whip...
...And there's a mailing-list reason: The GOP lists have been bled practically dry...
...But watch the headline writers go: "Child Development Enhanced By Good Day Care, Study Finds," the New York Times trumpets brightly...
...He's from Texas, and Republicans won't want two Texans as numeros one and two...
...Armey is from Texas, Paxon from New York...
...Armey is a policy wonk, Paxon a clever political strategist...
...Day Care Fakery The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development's new $30 million study of the effects of child care on children from birth to three proves very little about child care...
...Lott is irritated over the pressure being placed on him by conservatives to oppose the treaty and has privately remarked, "I won't be intimidated by Ed Feulner [president of the Heritage Foundation] and Paul Weyrich [president of the Free Congress Foundation...
...To figure out how to surmount the fund-raisng malaise, Republicans are conducting a poll...
...Lott also spent 45 minutes discussing the treaty with a group of conservative activists last week, but the meeting only confirmed that the majority leader sees the treaty more as a marker to use in bargaining with the White House than a matter of intrinsic importance...
...Since the White House said no to that, one alternative would be for Lott to allow the treaty to come to the floor while joining the fight against it...
...Candidates must have several years' experience in circulation planning, budgeting, subscription fulfillment, ABC regs, source management, and direct marketing...
...The FEC maintains that in 1992 Public Citizen coordinated its expenditures with Gingrich's Republican primary opponent, Herman Clark, which campaign-finance law explicitly prohibits...
...Or fax us at (202) 293-4901...
...Please send your resume to: Business Manager, The Weekly Standard, 1150 17th Street, NW, Suite 505, Washington, DC 20036...
...Helms is opposed to allowing the treaty out of the Foreign Relations Committee and has told colleagues that defeating the treaty is a defining issue for conservatives this year...
...Yet the remaining unresolved issues are among the most important, and the administration nixed a deal that Lott proposed: He wanted the White House to allow a Senate debate and vote on the administration's proposal to extend the ABM treaty to former Soviet states (also very unpopular with conservatives) in exchange for a Senate vote on chemical weapons...
...Day care study provides 'cautionary note' to mothers," solemnly intones the Washington Times...
...The treaty is strongly opposed by Senate conservatives like Jesse Helms and Jon Kyl, but when they met with Lott last week and pressed him to publicly oppose it, he demurred...
...Lott is hoping to get a unanimous-consent agreement to bring the treaty to the floor, arguing that he's won agreement from the administration on most of the disputed provisions...
...The column buries the bad news almost halfway through—and then misstates it...
...Way off," says one knowledgeable Republican...
...The Next Speaker of the House The correlation of Republican forces in the House is lining up behind Dick Armey and Bill Paxon as the ticket to take over when and if Newt Gingrich steps down as speaker...
...Help Wanted_ The Weekly Standard has a position available for a circulation manager, who will report to the circulation director...
...Stay tuned...
...And a popularity-impaired Newt is a big factor because so much of the fund-raising revolved around him (his name was on a lot of the letters...
...There's a certain symmetry to it," says a Republican leader approvingly...
...Why doesn't Tom DeLay, the whip, move up...
...Roll Call, a Capitol Hill newspaper, reported last week that the Federal Election Commission has filed a lawsuit against Public Citizen, the left-wing Naderite advocacy group, charging it with improperly spending $59,200 in an effort to oust . . . Newt Gingrich...
...Given the difficulty of quantifying such things as "positive engagement with mother," exactly what this small but "statistically significant" finding means is unclear—disappointing those who hope the quantifiers will solve our child-rearing dilemmas...
...But it demonstrates anew that pundits and pols love to seize on social-science findings and "prove" with them exactly what they please...
...GOP officials have a pretty good idea why: Newt Gingrich's troubles and the meandering leadership by him and others...
...Actually, the study noted this slight weakening of mother-child relationships consistently, among all groups in nonmaternal care, including those in care just a few hours a week...
...Nyah, Nyah_ In this season of hysteria over how campaign-finance laws apply to tax-exempt political groups, it's worth noting that House Speaker Newt Gingrich is not the only one mired in controversy...
...Trent Lott's Chemistry Experiment The $64,000 question among Washington conservatives right now is how Senate majority leader Trent Lott can emerge unscathed from a bubbling controversy over the chemical weapons treaty...
...Armey would be speaker, Paxon majority leader...
...The authors of the study labored mightily and discovered that—once you set aside the giant, decisive influences on how children do, namely their home life and genetic endowment—the effects of day care are (1) very small and (2) mixed...
...Armey is strong with conservatives, Paxon has ties to moderates, especially those from the Northeast...
...And this way, he'll have a few years to groom himself for speaker...
...Lott already disappointed conservatives by caving in to Senate Democrats and pledging a vote would be held by April 29, the date the treaty goes into effect...
...He spent most of the meeting in a defensive crouch and repeatedly referred to how much he had done last year to prevent the treaty's passage...

Vol. 2 • April 1997 • No. 31


 
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