Dingell Bells
PAYNE, HENRY & Dalmia, Shikha
Dingell Bells Congressional Democrats’ Christmas gift for U.S. automakers. BY HENRY PAYNE & SHIKHA DALMIA Detroit Representative John Dingell, the powerful Michigan Democrat, prevented fellow...
...The cornerstone of the energy bill signed Wednesday by President Bush is the raising of so-called Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards to mandate a 40 percent increase in auto fuel effi ciency by 2020...
...Dingell also bought the industry new effi ciency credits...
...hole gives automakers fuel economy credits for building vehicles that can run on alternative fuels—whether consumers fi ll them with these fuels or not...
...Despite CAFE’s failure, Washington has opted for the program’s biggest expansion in 30 years...
...This amounted to a doubling of fuel economy and disproportionately affected Detroit, which manufactured a fuller range of vehicles than Japanese auto companies, with their specialization in fuel-effi cient compact cars...
...But the biggest push for CAFE came from within the Democratic party...
...and Greg Walden (R-Ore...
...Jesse Toprak, an auto analyst with Edmunds.com, maintains the 35 mpg mandate is so onerous that large, gas-powered SUVs might well go the way of the dinosaur— despite their popularity and superior safety record...
...Not really...
...Thus, a spokesman for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, Charles Territo, notes that the 40 percent increase will likely translate into an overall 32 mpg for Chrysler vehicles but 38 mpg for Honda...
...Shikha Dalmia is a senior analyst at Reason Foundation, a Los Angeles-based, free market think tank...
...But this may be Dingell’s—and the Big Three’s— last stand as the green revolution overtakes the proletarian revolution among the priorities of the Democratic party...
...The original CAFE standards set a fi xed standard of 27.5 mpg for cars and 20 mpg for trucks...
...Though Republican presidents have historically stood against tougher regulations, in this case the Bush administration actually initiated the increase...
...This will effectively hold Japanese carmakers to a higher fuel economy standard given that their vehicles get better gas mileage to begin with...
...A recent Consumer Reports survey found that 70 percent of buyers want more fuel-effi cient vehicles—but only 50 percent are willing to sacrifi ce size and performance in that quest...
...For example, if a company achieved more than the mandated 40 percent increase in fuel economy for its smaller-vehicle fl eet, it could apply the balance to its SUVs...
...Desperate to prove his Iraq adventure was not motivated by a lust for oil, President Bush has made curing America’s “oil addiction” a domestic policy priority...
...The net effect of the new CAFE standards therefore will be to thwart consumer desire as carmakers are forced to overhaul their product lines to emphasize either smaller cars or large hybrid-engine vehicles that, on average, cost $5,000 more than the nonhybrid versions...
...This market reality is why, even as engine effi ciency improved 1.5 percent annually for the last 20 years, automakers have channeled those gains not toward better gas mileage but toward greater horsepower...
...market from 35 percent to 59 percent...
...But will this sacrifi ce curb climate change...
...auto fuel consumption 20 percent and imported oil’s share of the U.S...
...John Dingell bought time for U.S...
...For starters, Dingell not only reinstated the ethanol loophole the Senate bill had scrapped—but he actually expanded it to include other alternative fuels such as biodiesels...
...Though they may cost Japanese carmakers more, American carmakers will still have a harder time complying given their worse fi nancial situation...
...But since passage in 1975 the policy has had the opposite effect as better fuel economy made it cheaper for Americans to drive more, increasing U.S...
...And the industry kept differential fuel economy standards for cars and light trucks—instead of requiring that trucks meet the same stringent standards as cars, as the Senate bill, under pressure from environmental groups, had mandated...
...Now, however, Detroit’s once iconic carmakers have become environmentally incorrect...
...But Dingell’s special gift to Detroit was his success in forcing a radical overhaul of CAFE standards that is far more favorable to them than their Asian competitors...
...The new CAFE standards do not set absolute gas-mileage requirements for vehicles...
...In this the automakers succeeded rather well, thanks to octogenarian John Dingell’s unfl inching advocacy...
...Rather, they require every company to increase its fuel effi ciency by 40 percent...
...First conceived in the wake of the 1970s oil embargo (at a time when global cooling hype was at its peak), CAFE sought to reduce America’s “dependence” on foreign oil...
...In the new era, it is American car consumers who will suffer collateral damage—while victory over climate change will remain elusive...
...BY HENRY PAYNE & SHIKHA DALMIA Detroit Representative John Dingell, the powerful Michigan Democrat, prevented fellow Democrats from slaughtering Detroit auto companies during the recent battle in Congress over the energy bill...
...automakers endangered by the quixotic crusades of climate warriors— but he won’t live forever...
...John Christy, University of Alabama climatologist, maintains that even if the entire world adopted a fuel effi ciency standard of 45 mpg, “the net effect would reduce projected warming by about 0.05 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100...
...The loopHenry Payne is a freelance writer and an editorial cartoonist at the Detroit News...
...Globalwarming fever, rising gas prices, and Detroit’s declining economic importance conspired to make this CAFE’s moment...
...Given this backdrop, Detroit’s goal this time was not to dodge stricter CAFE standards—but to minimize their damage...
...The Bush administration estimates the new standards will cost the industry $85 billion...
...publicly bragged about owning Toyota hybrids during a recent hearing of the House Select Committee for Energy Independence and Global Warming...
...But both will have to divert research dollars from cars that consumers prefer...
...Democratic circles once regarded foreign cars as a treasonous assault on American workers...
...Indeed, congressmen Ed Markey (DMass...
...Their fate will remain precarious, unless cooler heads—or cooler air—prevails...
Vol. 13 • December 2008 • No. 16