Pax Americana

SCHMITT, GARY

Pax Americana Is there any alternative to U.S. primacy? by GARY SCHMITT Distracted by the red-hot partisan debate over Iraq, one can easily lose sight of the underlying strategic imperative that...

...And in Asia, it is the United States that "plays a unique stabilizing role . . . that no other country or organization can play...
...But sustain that role we must, since, as Lieber concludes, we continue to live "in a world where the demand for 'global governance' greatly exceeds the supply...
...Yet, whatever the discontent generated by American primacy, the most remarkable feature of the present international order is how little real reaction there has been to that dominance...
...For instance, Washington can't force its allies always to agree with it...
...He describes not only the elements that make up that primacy— military, economic, technological, and cultural—but also its limits...
...For all the bitching and moaning about America's hegemonic status, it has not actually produced a serious effort by the other powers to overturn it...
...by GARY SCHMITT Distracted by the red-hot partisan debate over Iraq, one can easily lose sight of the underlying strategic imperative that now guides American foreign policy...
...Certainly not the United Nations or, anytime soon, the European Union...
...America's superiority on the battlefield provides no ready solution to the use of asymmetrical warfare by our adversaries...
...Certainly, this was a problem we faced in the 1990s, when budgets for the foreign and defense establishments were cut by Democrats and Republicans alike...
...Hedge a bit, perhaps...
...can deter regional thugs, contain weapons proliferation to any degree, keep the Arab-Israeli peace process afloat, and keep the oil supplies flowing to us and our allies...
...As he quotes one European parliamentarian, "There are a lot of people who don't like the American policeman, but they are happy there is one...
...So, too, the beginning of wisdom at home is to recognize that, in the face of a clear threat, Americans are quite willing to adopt a strategic game plan that requires the use of American power to sustain a world that reflects our liberal, universal principles...
...In the case of Europe, after examining both the sources of tension and cooperation in current transatlantic relations, Lieber argues that Europe has no choice but to depend on American leadership and power...
...But for all the strength and clarity in Lieber's account of American primacy, two issues of note require fuller analysis...
...Lieber, as noted earlier, is fully aware of the fact that "a suitable grand strategy can...
...They forget "what Gary Schmitt is resident scholar and director of the Program on Advanced Strategic Studies at the American Enterprise Institute...
...Absent America's presence, the region's key actors would face a dramatically different set of security concerns, in which more overt, "great power" competition would likely become the norm...
...global primacy...
...Lieber is not oblivious to the fact that the rest of the world is hardly happy with this state of affairs, even while at times reluctantly admitting its necessity...
...But neither is American primacy a sure thing, according to Lieber...
...No doubt, sound leadership can help mitigate or even overcome this whipsawing tendency in public opinion...
...And finally, there is no guarantee that Americans, whatever the intrinsic merits of U.S...
...In short, there is a great power game afoot in East Asia that is somewhat obscured by talks about trade relations and cooperation on North Korea but, nevertheless, will increasingly be a challenge to the idea of American primacy in at least this corner of the world...
...Nor, Lieber admits, is this situation made any easier by the sometimes ham-handed way in which Washington works with its friends and allies...
...overturn it, no...
...This same liberalism— whose ultimate goal is a well-led private life—can make sustaining that role difficult...
...be undermined if it is poorly implemented...
...Yet, whatever the limits and problems associated with American primacy, Lieber argues that there is no real alternative if we want a stable and prosperous world...
...The first has to do with China and its rise as a significant power...
...In the absence of American primacy, the international order would quickly return to disorder...
...The core argument itself is not new: The United States and the West face a new threat— weapons of mass destruction in the hands of terrorists—and, whether we like it or not, no power other than the United States has the capacity, or can provide the decisive leadership, required to handle this and other critical global security issues...
...And whether Washington's public rhetoric about U.S.-China relations admits it or not, China's rise includes the growth of Chinese nationalism and ambitions that can't help but see America's role as guarantor of the region's status quo as an obstacle...
...And American primacy cannot help but fuel the ideological and cultural animosities that inflame so many of our enemies...
...But it is also true that, when American statecraft is exercised successfully, and the result is a seemingly safer and more pacific world, public support for continuing that leadership role can disappear as well...
...And the heart of his book is an examination of how this fact of international life remains so for Europe, for the Middle East, and for Asia...
...interventions or the lack of them...
...global leadership, will necessarily continue to support that role in the face of its incompetent exercise...
...Lieber's key evidence here is that there has been no sustained effort by the world's other great powers to check the exercise of American power by forming new coalitions...
...If there is any counterbalancing going on, it's actually aimed not at the United States but at a rising China...
...Robert Lieber's The American Era: Power and Strategy for the 21st Century serves as an invaluable primer on the nature of that imperative, outlining in a comprehensive but accessible fashion the continuing need for American global leadership...
...Europe's lack of unanimity over foreign policies, and its own lack of hard power, leave it with little choice but to rely on the United States when it comes to maintaining the world's security blanket...
...Although the American military has no peer, even it, when forced to handle serial major conflicts (as is the case today), would be hard-pressed to handle anything new...
...The critics "tend to dwell disproportionately on problems in the exercise of [American] power rather than on the dire consequences of retreat from an activist foreign policy," Lieber writes...
...Even among our friends, a key dilemma of American power is that, when it is not used—as in Sudan or Rwanda—it draws almost as much criticism as when it is...
...And even in the Middle East, the region where America is seemingly hated most, the region-wide anti-American uprising that was predicted to follow the invasion of Afghanistan, and then Iraq, has not taken place...
...There is," Lieber remarks, "a damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't quality in the international reactions to U.S...
...Indeed, whatever legitimate concerns people may have about the fact of America's primacy, the downsides of not asserting that primacy are, according to The American Era, potentially far more serious...
...Yet, just as Lieber points out, while more might be done "to win 'hearts and minds'" abroad, the fact remains that "the beginning of wisdom" with respect to America's role in the world is to realize that "contradictory reactions and accompanying anti-Americanism are inevitable...
...Moreover, over the longer run, the federal budget is filling up with the obligations of the now-retiring Baby Boomers, increasingly squeezing funds for national security into a smaller and smaller share of the public pie...
...At the very time the French were accusing the United States of being a "hyperpower," they were also worrying that the impeachment of Bill Clinton would result in a distracted Washington, incapable of playing its necessary role on the world stage...
...American primacy may be necessary, but it's not a free ride by any means...
...As clear as Lieber's core point is, his analysis is not a simple-minded account of the need for American primacy...
...Lieber may be right to suggest that, at the moment, China is not interested in a precipitous withdrawal of the United States from the Asian region...
...The second issue has to do with the American public's own reaction to U.S...
...can happen in the absence of such power...
...On the other hand, as Lieber's own account implicitly suggests, closer relations among the United States and countries like Japan, India, and Vietnam indicate that something more is going on in the region than his own overview fully takes account of...
...One is reminded here of the schizophrenia in Europe during the Clinton administration...
...As for the Middle East, after making the case for going to war with Saddam's Iraq—a case that ultimately hinges on the risks of not acting—Lieber notes that it still remains the case that "only the U.S...

Vol. 11 • February 2006 • No. 22


 
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