Mexico: Year Zero

...The attack upped the ante, widened the conflict and complicated Mexican politics...

...One motivation behind the temporary price controls may have been to keep resigned cynicism from spilling over into angry activism...

...It is also the APPO?s chief demand...

...announced Interior Secretary Ram?rez in early December, after the government sent federal troops and police to the beleaguered state of Michoac?n to battle the powerful drug cartels that have carried on a chaotic reign of terror with almost total impunity...

...The Drug War ?We are looking to take back the spaces that organized crime has seized...

...take your pick) former governor of the state of Jalisco, Francisco Ram?rez Acu?a, now the secretary of the interior, drew the most criticism for his repressive past, it is probably more significant that Calder?n chose a team of neoliberal technocrats for his ?economic cabinet...

...Attorney General Alberto Gonzales and the U.S...

...If the operations had been a success, reasons Riva Palacio, the logic of supply and demand would have produced a reverse effect...

...Among its findings was this observation: ?Repressive actions have been undertaken indiscriminately against the civilian population?men, women, children and old people?using tear gas, pepper gas, water with chemicals, medium- and high-caliber arms, military vehicles and helicopters...

...The demands, some directed to the SEP, some to the state government, were quickly?as has become traditional in Oaxaca?backed by civil disobedience and a strike...

...He is a NACLA contributing editor...

...Carstens was a Treasury undersecretary in the early years of the Fox government, and a mid-level officer of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) from 2003 until he left the job to join Calder?n?s transition team last October...

...There is a general feeling that the shortage was, somehow, planned by the wealthy and powerful...

...Another response has been talk among owners of small tortilla shops of forming a large trade cooperative that would allow them to collectively purchase corn from abroad and avoid the current set of intermediaries...

...All along, even after the PFP was dispatched to the city, the Fox government indicated it might recognize the validity of the social struggle, which had burst into violence under severe provocation, and begin a serious dialogue with the leadership of the union and the APPO...

...This led Attorney General Rafael Macedo de la Concha to jubilantly declare, ?We have taken the cartel to pieces...

...The reader can do the math...

...On May 1, Section 22 presented a list of contractual and social demands to its official negotiating partner, the SEP, and to Oaxaca?s governor, Ulises Ru?z...

...The one enforces while the other excludes and divides...

...Though the intolerable social conditions that reign in most of rural Mexico are just beneath the surface of the conflict, the APPO?s demands have never been very radical: better conditions for teachers and schoolchildren, the removal from office of a repressive governor, the withdrawal of federal police and, now, the release of imprisoned APPO members...

...observed a mid-January editorial in El Universal...

...The gangs and the dissidents were thus lumped together as criminal disrupters of the social order...

...Had such a dialogue taken place then, or more to the point, were it to take place now, it would touch on issues of education (the unrest began with the teachers...

...The agreement set a price cap of 8.50 pesos per kilo of tortillas while allowing for a significant increase of tariff-free imports of various types of corn, including corn used for animal feed...

...Since the U.S.-promoted Drug War began in the early 1980s, its successes in Mexico (and elsewhere) have been minimal...

...drug enforcement officials estimate that $142 billion in profits was grossed last year in Mexico...

...In late June, the APPO ?seized...

...On January 18 the government announced a compromise between two contrasting ?lessons learned...

...from Mexico?s sudden corn shortage...

...The compromise, agreed to by the government and the major corn and tortilla distributors?including Maseca, Pan Bimbo and Wal-Mart?reflected the Calder?n government?s acknowledgement that the government had to intervene, and its simultaneous expectation that the global market would resolve Mexico?s corn crisis...

...The arrests in early December, before the launch of the Calder?n government?s drug war, also signaled its intent to inaugurate the crusade for law and order?not against the drug gangs, but against militant social movements...

...But political columnist Raymundo Riva Palacio reports in the daily paper El Universal that aside from the extradition of a half dozen drug barons, the cartels have not taken such a hard hit...

...especially the neoliberal financial functionary Agust?n Carstens, to be secretary of the treasury...

...The civil disobedience was answered on June 14 by a ferocious state police attack on a teachers...

...Max Correa, secretary general of a campesino group called the Central Campesina Cardenista, estimates that ?for every five tons bought from foreign producers, one campesino becomes a candidate for migration...

...Elected in a disputed, polarizing process with just 35% of the popular vote, unrecognized as Mexico?s legitimate president by his principal opponent, he has chosen, despite his soft-spoken manner, to rule with an iron fist...

...While the heavy-handed (or ?firm-handed...

...The new drug war, however, may have broader motives...

...The high stakes have produced a ruthless struggle for control among the drug gangs...

...Now we are witnessing the dispatch of federal police and military units to the states of Michoac?n, Baja California and Guerrero, as Calder?n tries to show the cartels and their hit men who?s in charge...

...Groups of nonuniformed individuals with high-caliber arms have engaged in kidnappings, illegal detentions, sieges and shootings, in some cases using police vehicles and sometimes with the participation of public functionaries...

...It gave birth to a community-based social movement called the Popular Assembly of the Peoples of Oaxaca (APPO), formed to back the teachers...

...Tortillas In mid-January, Mexican markets experienced a sudden corn shortage, leading to an explosive rise in the price of corn and, therefore, of corn tortillas, the Mexican staple...

...sit-in...

...The Political Moment On November 20, about two weeks before Calder?n?s inauguration, Andr?s Manuel L?pez Obrador (AMLO), the center-left candidate of the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) who lost to Calder?n by a disputed half percent of the vote, arranged to be sworn in as the ?legitimate president of Mexico...

...Another was the ?cockroaching...

...Which brings us back to the political moment...

...Ruthless violence between rival gangs in Michoac?n has taken hundreds of lives during the past year...

...Governor Ruiz is a cacique of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) who has risen and maintained himself in power through a combination of corruption and thuggery...

...on the contrary, it had unleashed violent struggles for its control...

...Tortillas are the mainstay of the Mexican diet, especially for the poor...

...On the other hand, the federal government (under both Fox and Calder?n) has consistently held out the possibility that it might unambiguously side with the tough law-and-order approach of Governor Ruiz, treat the mobilized members of APPO as common criminals and restore order with the overwhelming use of police power...

...He has begun by launching what has been billed as an all-out war against Mexico?s brutal drug traffickers, vigorously defending the social order by cracking down on the social movements in the state of Oaxaca, and responding quickly to the stunning rise in corn and tortilla prices...

...Cacho, vice president of the National Chamber of Industrialized Corn, estimates that an average poor family of four consumes about three kilos of tortillas a day...

...Mexico currently imports about 8 million tons of various kinds of corn per year...

...to Mexico, and has been lavishly praised (especially for the extraditions) by George W. Bush, U.S...

...In a column in the daily paper La Jornada, historian Adolfo Gilly commented that the ICCHRO report confirms that the repression does not consist of isolated acts and ?excesses...

...His career at the IMF reflects a utopian belief in a single world economy in which the most important actors are sovereign private investors, unregulated by national political actors...

...wholesalers...

...But after a month of triumphant success, things may be slipping out of control...

...At the ?controlled...

...It would also deal with the APPO?s demand that Governor Ruiz be removed from office and, now, that Oaxaca?s ?political prisoners...

...As these three components of the political moment play themselves out, things are beginning to look dicey for the new president...

...For Calder?n?s neoliberal economic advisers, the tortilla crisis showed that corn markets had to be allowed to operate more freely, and that Mexico must further open itself to free trade by rapidly abolishing all remaining tariffs on imported corn...

...PRD congressional leader Juan Guerra questioned the Kafkaesque nature of the events...

...price of 8.50 pesos a kilo, the cost of tortillas comes to 25.50 pesos a day...

...the movement of illicit production and trade from one heavily policed area to another that is friendlier to the industry...

...In fact, the price agreement was never meant to be enforceable...

...He wants to restore law and order to those areas beset by criminal violence or social protest (two activities he deliberately conflates), and he wants to maintain macroeconomic stability by cutting federal spending, even while raising military and ?security...

...with Ram?rez was then postponed...

...the city center and restore order...

...High international corn prices, combined with the lack of any integrated, independent production-distribution chains within the country, and the lack of political will to intervene in the markets, have allowed transnational importers like Cargill, Wal-Mart and Pan Bimbo to raise prices in selected outlets while adhering to the agreement in others...

...It doesn?t add up...

...expenditures...

...strike and to press for a broader set of political and social demands...

...The ?dialogue...

...For now, the stage belongs to Calder?n: This government, he is telling everyone concerned, is prepared to impose its will...

...Which brings us to Oaxaca...

...Calder?n says the operation has brought ?peace and certainty...

...So President Fox unveiled a plan called M?xico Seguro, which aimed to confiscate illicit drugs, destroy productive fields and complexes, arrest traffickers and establish checkpoints on the highways of the half dozen states most affected by the drug trade...

...With the arrest of Sosa and his compa?eros, the Calder?n government has clearly opted for what has been labeled ?the criminalization of the social struggle...

...For the poor...

...This caught tortilla consumers (97% of Mexicans) and the government by surprise...

...The repressive law enforcement we have already begun to see under Ram?rez is a necessary complement to the deregulatory, neoliberal economic policies we are beginning to see from Carstens...

...The response to the tortilla crisis illuminates the grim future faced by the Mexican family farmer...

...and Mexican press celebrated the ?body blow...

...The cost of a joint of marijuana on the street of Mexico City...

...but rather represents a deliberate government strategy to paralyze dissident social processes and movements through the use of fear...

...ambassador to Mexico, Tony Garza...

...This past November, just before Calder?n took office, President Fox sent the Federal Preventative Police (PFP) into the city to ?retake...

...How can the secretary of the interior say that he wants to build dialogue and accord if what he does after sending for a leadership commission is simply to put them in jail...

...If a kilo of corn costs 2.20 pesos and at the end of the productive chain a kilo of tortillas sells for 10 pesos or more, then most of what the consumer is paying goes to intermediaries, who certainly incur costs and have the right to a profit, but not to take such a disproportionate slice of the pie, much less to speculate with the product to cause an artificial shortage...

...be released from jail...

...Illicit drugs are becoming cheaper and more plentiful on Mexican streets, tortillas are becoming more expensive and less plentiful on the kitchen tables of the poor, and repression and dissent are escalating in Oaxaca...

...In some corners of Mexico, the price quickly spiked from five pesos (about $0.45) per kilo to seven or eight pesos and kept rising...

...More than 140 oaxaque?os were arrested November 25 during a police attack on an APPO demonstration, and many are still being held in a federal prison in the state of Nayarit...

...The billions in profits (even to the mere contenders for market power) has allowed each cartel to employ the hit men who regularly make otherwise honest citizens an offer they can?t refuse: plomo o plata?lead or money...

...The U.S...

...Marijuana fields have been burned, drugs have been confiscated, capos and their family members have been arrested and extradited to Texas and California, drug profits have been lost, and professional executioners have been killed, arrested, or forced to flee the states under siege...

...But within a week of the agreement to limit the price of tortillas to 8.50 pesos a kilo, the average price had risen to 9.50, and according to reporters from El Universal, to 20 pesos in the northern state of Durango...

...He is eager to demonstrate that he will be a tougher and more decisive president than his equally conservative but very indecisive predecessor, Vicente Fox...

...Federal, state and municipal police corps and elite units have participated in these acts, along with the participation of military units in tasks of logistics and coordination...

...The minimum wage in Mexico (which varies slightly from location to location) averages about 49 pesos a day...

...His career reflects his undergraduate training at the Technological Institute of Mexico and his graduate training in economics at the University of Chicago, both of which prepared him to see the world as one in which competitive, unregulated markets are always efficient and produce ?optimal...

...His intentions were first signaled by his cabinet choices: Even his best, most competent choices were meant to contribute to a politics of polarization...

...The production, distribution and transshipment of illicit drugs is a trade in which hundreds of billions of dollars a year changes hands in North America alone...

...In early December, Flavio Sosa, known as the APPO leader most open to dialogue and compromise, and most determined to keep the armed supporters of the movement at bay, was taken into custody along with his brother and two other APPO leaders by agents of the PFP and the Federal Agency of Investigation just after they had gone to Mexico City to begin a ?dialogue...

...outcomes, a world in which private investment is always the key to economic development...

...strike), health, housing and creating decent work opportunities...

...Indeed, the initial government response was to authorize the tariff-free import of an additional 450,000 tons of white corn from the United States, and another 200,000 from the rest of the world...

...His advocates hope he will attract more foreign investment to Mexico by balancing the budget, reducing regulations and therefore the costs of production, privatizing as much of the energy sector as possible, breaking up the Telmex near-monopoly of the telecommunications sector and further deregulating labor markets?smashing, that is, what?s left of union power and eliminating as many labor protections as possible...

...The agreement will remain in effect until April 2007...

...For much of the opposition, by contrast, the crisis demonstrated that the corn markets must be more tightly regulated to guard against unscrupulous manipulation...

...On January 20, the Barcelona-based International Civil Commission for Human Rights Observation (ICCHRO) issued a preliminary report on the situation in Oaxaca...

...remarked a neighbor of mine in a small tortilla shop, ?and for the almost-poor like us, the price increases were purposely planned for January...

...reports Riva Palacio, ?is 15 pesos [about $1.25], compared to 25 pesos in December, while Ecstasy tabs, whose producers were also supposedly targets of the crackdowns, have fallen to half of the 50 pesos they cost at the end of the year...

...So this past January, people were not simply feeling sin dinero...

...His departure, by one means or another, has now become the only non-negotiable demand of the striking members of Section 22 of the SNTE, even those who are anxious to go back to work...

...In 2002, the Tijuana drug capo Benjamin Arellano Felix was captured by federal police, and his brother Ram?n was killed...

...Union (SNTE) versus the Secretariat of Public Education (SEP...

...Calder?n?s response to AMLO?s challenge has been his announced determination to govern Mexico with no equivocation or compromise of his conservative principles...

...Importing the proposed 450,000 tons of white corn, he told a press conference in January, will likely eliminate more than 100,000 jobs in the rural sector...

...with Secretary of the Interior Ram?rez...

...The vacancy at the top, however, had not destroyed the industry...

...They were charged with various counts of robbery, pillage, assault and arson...

...Calder?n?s government is determined to present itself as tough enough to crack down on disorder and to balance its fiscal budget by imposing austerity on the public sector (except on that part of the public sector that enforces the government?s toughness...

...Oaxaca The explosive situation in the state and (especially) the city of Oaxaca began last spring as a simple labor conflict: Section 22 of the National Teachers...

...of traffickers into less controlled areas...

...the center of the city of Oaxaca to support the teachers...

...Indeed, each seemingly successful crackdown has produced what Mexican law enforcement officials call the ?cockroach effect...

...dealt to the Tijuana cartel...

...After the big spending over the holiday season, ?people are accustomed to being sin dinero en enero [penniless in January] and hardly notice when prices rise...

...This comes to over one quarter of all the corn that is consumed in the country...

...The main result was a further flowering of violence and brutality...

...Mexico?s transnational cartels make their money not so much by producing illegal drugs as by transshipping them from third-country producers to U.S...

...Since no legitimate agency is in a position to regulate this trade, the industry has become self-regulating by means of selective assassination, cautionary beheadings, bribery of government officials, strategic payments to the needy and so on...

...The administration may simply be signaling that whether it is confronting civil unrest, labor conflicts or criminal activity, it will increasingly rely on police and military force to establish the conditions for law and order, no matter what the disorder is all about...

...One popular response has been to search for the guilty parties, leading to a great deal of conjecture about who is speculating and who is hoarding...

...He presented a parallel cabinet to the public, declared his solidarity with social movements of the poor, and announced that his inauguration was meant to ?confront a fraudulent election...

...Fred Rosen is an independent journalist based in Mexico...

...The appointments of Ram?rez and Carstens go together...

...Many not only noticed the dramatic increases in corn prices, but significantly reduced their caloric intake...