Taking Note

AUTUMN OF THE PATRIARCHS? THE U.S. AIR FORCE C-141 IS A REMARKable beast of burden. With a proven track record of shuttling troops into combat in places like Grenada, it now proves equally adept...

...Enter the Reagan Administra- tion, in the person of new Ambassador Harry G. Barnes, Jr., who has been rebuked by Pinochet for breaking "the minimum norms of good relations" and lauded by Christian Democratic leader Gabriel Valdes, who says "the Embassy has changed completely for us...
...Republicans and Democrats alike, and most of the media, are now intoxicated with the new drive to put tyrants in their place and export democracy worldwide...
...Writing in Policy Studies, the monthly journal of the Heritage Founda- tion, Falcoff warned of the "Nicaraguanization" of Chile if Pinochet clings to power...
...Will Reagan pull the rug...
...As with Marcos, Washington will keep its options open until the eleventh hour...
...Junta leader Gen...
...In one recent New York Times story from Chile, reporter Lydia Chavez, a loyal chronicler of Ambassador Barnes' passion for democracy, noted without comment that the country's "moderate opposition has few organizers or supporters in the slums where anti-government sentiment is strongest...
...election observers to the Philippines, explained that what made the difference there "was the existence of a middleclass alternative to Marcos, composed of people who talked, acted and even looked a little like your own friends...
...Might it just be that people who "talk, act and look like" Richard Lugar's friends in Washington, look nothing at all like the residents of Chile's slums, let alone Nicaragua's countryside...
...Last August, 11 opposition parties signed a National Accord for a Full Transition to Democracy, which excluded the leftist Popular Democratic Movement...
...Four of its members were close associates of the Duvalier regime...
...In that sense, Duvalier was the greater evil...
...The pundits' favor- ite candidate is Chile's Gen...
...The Embassy openly acknowledges that its aim is to break the standoff between the newly unified "moderates" and the obstinate dictator before the Left can reap any advantage from the crisis...
...Ambassador Clayton E. McManaway, Jr...
...Its huge cargo bays are just as handy for carrying Michle Duvalier's furs and Imelda Marcos' jewelry as they are for ferrying supplies to the contras in Honduras...
...The turning point for Marcos clearly came with the defection of Washington's men, Lt...
...That may still happen in Chile, though the C- 141 is not waiting on the runway for Pinochet just yet...
...Ramos, a West Point graduate, received special training at Fort Bragg, North Carolina and Fort Benning, Georgia and commanded the Philippine Civic Action Group in Vietnam in the late 1960s...
...Last month, a U.S.AID official in Haiti named Roger Kennedy (presumably no relation) placed the "new" Reagan policy in context...
...After the fall of Duvalier and Marcos, in the space of 18 heady days in February, who will be the next dictator to go...
...With a proven track record of shuttling troops into combat in places like Grenada, it now proves equally adept as a personnel carrier for former heads of state...
...For them, the "change" in U.S...
...But if Pinochet looks closely at the "transition to de- mocracy" in Manila and Port-au-Prince, he may learn that U.S...
...After 28 years of Duvalier family rule, Haiti's new five-man junta reflects the behind-the-scenes skills of U.S...
...By having the CIA arrange Trujillo's assassination, once it felt a transition to a pro-American, middle-class alternative was at hand...
...Augusto Pinochet, who is again under attack after 12 years in power...
...The regime had to go," said Kennedy, "before radical elements took advan- tage of the popular uprising...
...policy is no change at all...
...Richard Lugar, who led the team of U.S...
...Henri Namphy was the dictator's military chief of staff...
...options, in descending order of desira- bility: "a decent democratic regime," dictatorship or Castroism...
...Flanking him are two col- onels, including the commander of "Baby Doc" Duvalier's presidential guard...
...Some biographical details are eloquent: Enrile, a mil- lionaire Harvard-educated lawyer, was the architect of the 1972 martial law crackdown and a tireless campaigner for Marcos' re-election...
...If it then decides the middleclass opposition can form a viable government, Pinochet will be dead meat...
...W ASHINGTON IS NOW CASTING AROUND for its men in Chile...
...Kennedy's enduring maxim was that, "We ought to aim for the first, but we can't really renounce the second until we are sure we can avoid the third...
...Our man in Manila, Stephen W. Bosworth, is an equally shrewd operator and an old Latin America hand-he was formerly Reagan's Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs...
...Fidel Ramos and Defense Minister Juan Ponce Enrile: to acknowledge that takes nothing away from the awesome spectacle of "people power" mobilized in support of Corazon Aquino...
...The best barometer of current right-wing sentiment on Chile in the United States was a recent article by an American Enterprise Institute Scholar, Mark Falcoff...
...policy is more consistent than it seems...
...It did not seem to occur to Chavez to wonder why...
...The new government has imposed a prolonged dusk-to-dawn curfew, refused to lift a ban on political exiles and glossed over the sub- ject of elections...
...Nothing new here: How, after all, did Kennedy resolve his dilemma in the Dominican Republic...
...Little has changed since 1961, when John F. Kennedy studied the crisis in the Dominican Republic and laid out three U.S...
...An aide to Republican Sen...

Vol. 20 • April 1986 • No. 2


 
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