Symposium

Slaughter, Anne-Marie

AN IRAN WITH A popular, accountable, and rights-regarding (PAR) government would not be a threat, even if it developed a nuclear weapon. But an Iran with a president who denies the Holocaust,...

...0 N NUCLEAR WEAPONS, the United States should be willing to offer Iran assurances that assuage its legitimate fears...
...At the same time, Iran is the modern heir to a great Persian culture, one of the cradles of civilization as we know it...
...In a broader Middle East settlement, the United States should embrace the plan put forward by King Abdullah of Jordan in March 2002 as the basis for a regional and international conference aimed at bringing peace to the Middle East as a whole...
...At the same time, we should encourage Israel to do everything possible to make a separate peace with Syria, leaving Iran deprived of its arc of influence and faced with the prospect of rising Saudi influence in the Middle East, unless it is willing to come to the table as well...
...We must also be able to offer real carrots for more responsible behavior, such as the prospect of aid in developing gas supplies that will enable Iran to provide an alternative source to Russian gas fields, and/or the prospect of membership in a G-8 expanded to a G-15 or G-20...
...At that point the case for direct action against him will be far more compelling...
...IN ALL OF these efforts, the United States must present a united front with Europe...
...An additional topic for this peace conference would be the establishment of a Helsinki Process for all Middle Eastern countries, whereby they would agree to a set of political and economic "baskets" of commitments designed to bring all their governments up to PAR and establish a Conference on Security and Cooperation in the Middle East to oversee a process of implementing these commitments...
...ANNE-MARIE SLAUGHTER is dean of the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton and co-convener, with G. John Ikenberry, of the Princeton Project on National Security...
...This offer would hinge on an Iranian commitment not to pursue a nuclear weapons capability and Iranian willingness to allow that commitment to be verified by the International Atomic Energy Agency...
...These assurances might include a negative security assurance—a promise not to attack Iran except in response to Iranian military action or direct Iranian support of a terrorist attack against the United States, Europe, or Israel...
...52 n DISSENT / Winter 2007...
...The solution is to give Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the bear-hug treatment...
...Concretely, we should engage Iran on three fronts: Iraq, a broader Middle East peace settlement, and nuclear weapons...
...Some of the ideas presented here are drawn from the final report of the Princeton Project, "Forging a World of Liberty under Law: U.S...
...Above all, our combined activity must be steady and constant, allowing no time for Iranian divide-and-conquer delay tactics...
...A raging conflict with the United States gone is quite another, creating a major incentive to negotiate, requiring Ahmadinejad and the mullahs at least to explain to the Iranian population why it is sometimes acceptable to sit down with the Great Satan...
...National Security in the 21st Century," September 27, 2006...
...This will provide a facesaving device for the Iranians to suspend all uranium enrichment activities until the conclusion of the conference...
...Iran has already signaled that it does not want a civil war that could spill over to Sunnis in Iran itself or that draws Iran directly into a much wider regional conflict...
...or (2) withdraw and leave a civil war raging on Iran's borders...
...At the same time, the five nuclear powers and several leading nonnuclear powers should announce an emergency review conference at which the original barDISSENT / Winter 2007 n 51 IRAN gain of atoms for peace will be updated and the restrictions on all declared nuclear powers will become more stringent, raising the cost of being a nuclear power...
...We should enfold him in an iron embrace, engaging him in ways that either tame him or expose him as a danger not only to the world but to the Iranian people...
...If these combined initiatives fail either to rein in Ahmadinejad or to deprive him of support within Iran, then his personal pathologies and the profound dangers of the fanatical populism he is spreading will be clear to all responsible nations...
...He will claim victories, but our response must be to demand genuine engagement, meaning a willingness to strike genuine and verifiable bargains...
...On Iraq, the United States should begin from the premise that the Sunnis and the Shiites are now waging a civil war, leaving only two feasible options for the United States: (1) work with other powers in the region, particularly Iran, Syria, and Saudi Arabia, to reach a political settlement that can be enforced...
...Our approach to Iran must acknowledge and proceed on both these realities...
...A simmering conflict that keeps the United States tied down is one thing...
...But an Iran with a president who denies the Holocaust, who will not deny that he called for the eradication of Israel, and who won popular election through a rhetoric and a radicalism that worry even the mullahs is a grave potential threat...
...On all three fronts, we must pursue diplomacy with Iranian political and religious leaders and dialogue, as much as possible, with the Iranian people...
...We should smother Ahmadinejad with attention...
...It is a legitimate rising power, in the sense that its size, natural and human resources, history, and geography all entitle its people to aspire to be recognized as a major power in its region and the world...
...That plan proposed that the Arab world establish "normal relations" with Israel and recognize the ArabIsraeli conflict to be concluded in exchange for Israeli withdrawal from the Occupied Territories, Israeli recognition of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital, and a just solution for Palestinian refugees...

Vol. 54 • January 2007 • No. 1


 
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