Telecosm
Gilder, George
www.gildertech.com. So, I owe him big- time. But that's not all. Telecosm is where my very own Met- Goodbye Malthus, Hello Metcalfe calfe's Law got its start. Now, thanks to Gilder, my...
...Third, because Gilder can use the money...
...olution...
...Let me rise in a good way...
...Rather than ask us to debate the dif- viewing industry executives and taking ficult alternatives before us, the book too literally their corporate spin...
...By now it's clear that Gilder ing their books in the New York Times, writing that a new technology called ATM Of course, we are now living amidst (don't ask what it is) would eventually the social disintegration and conflict-not!--about which Winner whined...
...I'm now hoping Gilder is right...
...You can find them online instantly for free...
...Teleeosm is, for example, about Wave sition from crunching 8 to 16 bits at a Division Multiplexing (WDM...
...I I I | i Date of change: ! ! | nologists of getting his details wrong, or, ous non-niggling Teleeosm mind-overwhen he's attacking their pet projects, of matter metaphors has over the last few ilCity: being clueless, or worse yet, an overly years made many portfolios go BOOM, i State: enthusiastic right-wing kook...
...Gilder's CDMA crusade is still playing out on the op-ed page of the Wall Street Journal...
...So I owe Gilder bigtime squared, and did s o even before he bought The American So I have to say, if anyone "took the not A1 Gore, but George Gilder...
...replace Ethernet in the Internet...
...But there is no sense of such troubles Telecosm will confound the Luddite-Marxist whiners who repeatedly try to dismiss Gilder's books in the New York Times Book Review...
...The PC revolution users--is on the lips of dot-corn CEOs has stiffened into an establishment...
...Box 655, Mt...
...I ner likes so much, only the right ones...
...What's important this decade, says Gilder, is that you not be a whiner, but instead suitably enthusiastic about "the world enabled and defined by new com- Spectator, in which this review appears...
...You'll want the very latest cal fibers...
...the richest man in the world by ignoring I | | | | | | ! | I I I -- T h a t ' s all t h e r e is t o it...
...I am a founding member of bits per second to to billion bits per secGilder's Digerati Fan Club...
...computer age is over...
...i I | TASAddress Changes Made Easy...
...The pivotal units of Gilder's Tele- the time was a Reagan speechwriter, came won't have to buy it...
...He second of information transmission-- asked me a million questions about my bandwidth...
...TeIeeosm (zooo) begins, "The BOB METCALFE'S Internet Collapses and Other InfoVC~rld Pundit~ ~ is in its third paperback printing from IDG Books...
...Morris, IL 61054-8084 1-800-524-3469 IMPORTANT: Name: (Please Print) Address: | ! | | i | i I i ! i I of infinite bandwith...
...i | ! Allow six weeks for address change...
...rainbow-- Ciena, Sycamore, Corvis...
...by flashing many colors of laser light This is what Gilder does...
...I think felt- it at his heavily visited website, 64 December 2000 / January 200r 9 TheAmericon Spectator The computer age is over...
...It would be tim to read Winner's review of ingly everywhere, that I was wrong about ATM--I was throwing out my own baby If Winner is a member of the Luddite- after drinking a lot of telephone-monopMarxist club, whose members grant tenure to one another's prot4g~s after puff- was right, again, and I was wrong, again...
...I was invites us to celebrate...
...Today I am worried about another disagreement I have with Gilder...
...So TeIecosm comes with a one-page appendix of companies which Gilder calls "players...
...First, because Gilder has updated his Telecosm chapters since those early versions online, some of which go back more than five years...
...Microcosm (t989) was about the rise of microprocessors and the ensuing personal computer (PC) rev- Telecosm in the New York Times...
...to his defense by' saying that cynics can If you're serious about making money | Zip: often be right, but they don't accomplish in high-tech, or just about understandmuch...
...And fourth, if three reasons aren't tremendous social disintegration and con- my baby, Ethernet...
...Telecosm is where my very own MetGoodbye Malthus, Hello Metcalfe calfe's Law got its start...
...I note that the only thing worse than a few, big, regulated monopolies is fewer, bigger, unregulated monopolies, which is where we're heading since the Telecommunications Act of 1996...
...So he ignored the nigtion quickly over large distances, would be gling truth about 16-bit micros and wrote made really, really cheap--"infinite"-- software for them as quickly as he could...
...versions, especially if you're planning to use them to make investments in the stock market...
...He implies that Moore's Law of the Microcosm is being But, professional handwringer and RPI Professor Langdon Winner dismisses Gilder as a member of the right-wing, cyber-libertarian digerati...
...munications technology...
...Early versions of its chapters have been Napsterized upon the Internet...
...eleeosm is about the Internet, Real success, big success, and I'm which seemed to take everyone talking here about Bill Gates-type sucbutA1 Gore by surprise...
...Gates Huber, Shafei, and Nacchio...
...Listen to what he wrote in the of the Tetecosm...
...Telecosm is the second in Gilder's "costa" series of two...
...But TeIe- cess, comes from being right not so much about what's true today, but about those historical inevitabilities that Winwhat seemed true at the exact moment microprocessors were making their trancosm is not about the Internet's dot-corn monetization of eyeballs in BzB e-commerce blah blah blah...
...traces the history of this major bandwidth Others observed that 16-bit micros technology from pioneers Snitzer and were new, expensive, and didn't have Hicks to today's "gladiators of glass" software that could exploit them...
...He invented Ethernet in i97~, founded 3Corn in 1979, and has been trying for the last ten years to win the Pulitzer Prize for tech- foreword for my recent book, and featured nology punditry...
...Ethernet--today going from ~o million then beware...
...Second, yon should buy TeIecosm because reading from paper is still (though not for long) a lot easier than reading from a computer screen...
...There Gates praises Gilder on Telecosm's back really is a pot of gold at the end of the cover...
...New to technology enough, because high sales numbers for flict...
...If | you prefer that your name not be rented, please check here...
...1. Please write your new address in I | the space provided...
...N The American Spectator " December 2000 /January ~oo~ - .eric ' , ' Spedator ' i i VCAFRM Ii 65...
...So, I owe him bigtime...
...i 2. Attach the mailing label from your ] I most recent issue...
...New York Times when Microcosm On the other hand, in TeIeeosm you'll find Gilder disagreeing with me about appeared: "Transformations on the scale Microcosm envisions would surely involve punditry in the early 1990's, I was interhere...
...Gilder time...
...Gilder wrote an over-the-top favorable Telecosm: How Infinite Bandwidth Will Revolutionize Our World George Gilder Free Press/35~ pages / $26 BY REVIEWED Bob Metcalfe E ven if I convince you to read megabytes, or gigabytes of information Gilder, who I mistakenly thought at George Gilder's Telecosm, you storage...
...knew somehow that after 16-bit micros Who would have thought that high would come 3z-bit, and thereafter 64bandwidth, the ability to send informa- bit, and so on...
...enough they end World War II with an atomic bomb...
...Later he elevated it to one of his Laws of the Telecosm...
...Mail to: Subscriber Service P.O...
...He scorns Gilder's promotion of Gordon Moore over replaced in importance by Metcalfe's Law Karl Marx...
...The pivotal units of measurement for initiative in creating the Interact," it was this decade are not Microcosm's kilobytes, costa are megabits, gigabits, or terabits per to interview me in the early 199o's...
...Gilder did...
...Gilder, on the other hand, argues against antitrust enforcement...
...Next thing I knew, Gilder wrote my 35mm slide into Telecosm, calling it Metcalfe's Law...
...T Gilder is sometimes accused by techI | 3. Return this form to us at the ! address listed below...
...Just be sure to allow six weeks for your | Gates, for example, got on track to be | I | i | | | | [ I | i I ~3 Renew my subscription for one year | (ten issues--S34.95) Payment enclosed C3 Bill me later CI At various times TAS rents its subscriber lists to other organizations...
...Gilder's enthusiastic theories don't ing how high-tech is transforming our aim to apply to the day-to-day niggling world, then you'd better read TeIeeosm over lo-percent improvements in current and follow-up by going to technology...
...o n d - i s killing ATM...
...This is the "infinite band- connects many millions to the Internet...
...So what am I going to do, pan Telecosm...
...I should have known it would...
...And in case you're wonder- invention of Ethernet in 1973, four years ing, a terabit per second (1Tbps) is one before A1 Gore arrived in Congress...
...Investing in these companies on the basis of Gilder's variwww.gildertech.com...
...Ethmillion million bits per second--the ernet is a technology for the high-speed equivalent of more than loo,ooo books networking of computers, and today it per second...
...Now, thanks to Gilder, my law-- the value of a network grows as the square of its number of everywhere, and even frequently in the technocratic speeches of A1 Core...
...But let me tel1 you why you should buy TeIecosm in any case, and read it, the old-fashioned way, in hardcover...
...This is why through fibers made from sand...
...Now we wouldn't waste a nanosecTeleeosm is, for example, about Code ond on physicists with their wave-partiDivision Multiple Access (CDMA...
...Gilder told me, and wrote convincoly bathwater...
...Welcome to the age phone monopolies are a threat to the Telecosta and should not be deregulated quite yet, but rather demonopolized first...
...change to take effect...
...Fmm immnJnnlq i I ! ! I i I I MOVING...
...cle dualities, quantum mechanics, and Gilder traces the history of this major string theories except that just often bandwidth technology from pioneers Jacobs and Viterbi...
...Telecosm starts with physics and heads up, telling the story and plotting the future of bandwidth, of Internet infrastructure, all the way up to Cisco...
...width" Gilder writes about, and it will Gilder showed special enthusiasm for one soon be carried routinely on just one of 35mm slide I'd used in my early promomany thin-as-a-human-hair intercity opti- tion of the Ethernet standard...
...He says we should get governments out of telecommunications and let his Teleeosm heroes take care of the rest...
Vol. 33 • December 2000 • No. 10
