Politics: The Bad News Is Wrong
Norquist, Grover G.
"Politics: The Bad News Is Wrong" by Grover G. Norquist The Bad News Is Wrong 0n Tuesday, November 7, Paul Patton was elected governor of Kentucky, after campaigning on a platform of tax cuts, the need to reduce the...
...A few more "victories" like this, and the Democrats will be out of power...
...Thirteen other states have passed concealed carry gun laws in the last two years, and Louisiana and Kentucky are expected to do so soon...
...It was a strategy taken from the 1994 advice of former Democratic House whip Tony Coelho—avoid the issues, and go negative and personal...
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...Curt Anderson, political director of the Republican National Committee, worked with the Republican campaign in Kentucky...
...One week later, Rep...
...the state's party registration is 65 percent Democrat and 3o percent Republican, with only 5 percent unaffiliated...
...Such fundraising dynamism can only mean one thing: continued GOP gains in future elections...
...In fact, Forgy did better than any other Republican candidate for governor in Kentucky since 1967, when Louis Nunn became the first Republican governor of the state since 1947...
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...The Democrats found additional solace in the Virginia state elections, in which they had feared losing control of both houses and in fact only lost the state senate...
...Further south, Kirk Fordice became the first Republican governor to be reelected in Mississippi this century, winning by a 10-point margin in the once-solidly Democratic state...
...A "backlash" of gun-control advocates was predicted for Virginia but didn't materialize...
...In the house of delegates, Republicans held only thirty-three seats in 1983, half as many as the Democrats...
...The Farm Bureau of Mississippi funded the strong opposition campaign, which was joined by (surprisingly) Trent Lott and (not surprisingly) the establishmentarian Thad Cochran...
...Foster's win gives the Republicans control of thirty-one governorships, meaning that 71 percent of the nation's population now lives in states with Republican governors...
...The 20-20 split also means that Democratic lieutenant governor Don Beyer now finds himself in the ticklish position of holding the tie-breaking vote...
...Desperate for good news after the election defeats of 1993 and 1994, the Democratic Party is eager to take Patton's off-year election victory as a sign that they have turned the corner—or at least stabilized their condition...
...In the dozen years since, Republicans have gone from those thirty-three seats to forty-seven, while Democrats have fallen from sixty-six to fifty-two (with one independent...
...In the house of delegates there was no change in the 52-48 Democratic advantage...
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...But in the senate, Republicans defeated majority leader Hunter Andrews and won a netgain of two seats, ending Democratic control of the Virginia senate for the first time this century—in fact, for the first time in any century...
...In the first six months of 1993, individual contributors gave $23.8million to the Democrats and $19.2 million to Republicans...
...eight years, the only Kentucky Republican elected statewide has been Senator Mitch McConnell, who managed to win with 5o percent in 1984, the year of the Reagan landslide, and a whopping 52 percent in 1990...
...Morphing" ads comparing the Republicans to Gingrich did not move poll numbers, either...
...pro-gun advocates had a net gain of two seats in the state senate and one in the house...
...the barrage of personal attacks on Forgy's business practices dropped his numbers six percent...
...And it worked for Patton in Kentucky...
...Mike Parker of Mississippi made official his long-anticipated jump to the Republican Party...
...POLITICS by Grover G. Norquist The Bad News Is Wrong 0 n Tuesday, November 7, Paul Patton was elected governor of Kentucky, after campaigning on a platform of tax cuts, the need to reduce the size of government, reforming the liberal state education act, imposing the death penalty, building more prisons, restoring prayer in schools, opposing gun control, and advocating a "concealed carry" handgun law...
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...New Jersey Democrats have not been able to retake traditionally Democrat seats, as Gov...
...Raleigh voters also gave Fetzer a majority of the city council for the first time...
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...Holding Kentucky should have been easy...
...Jim Florio's tax increase...
...Patton defeated his Republican opponent, Larry Forgy, by a mere 51-49 margin...
...He was the Democratic candidate...
...In 1983 Republicans had only nine seats in the 4o-member chamber...
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...He will doubtless be forced to take public positions on some of his party's less popular issues...
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...What's overlooked is that the entire Republican presidential field has already raised an estimated $70 million...
...Virginia had been targeted by gun-control advocates because of Governor Allen's successful fight to pass a "concealed carry" gun law that allows all citizens without criminal records to carry concealed weapons in the state...
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...The previous Republican candidates for governor, in 1987 and 1991, received only 35 percent of the vote...
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...The state's average loss for assembly seats of the party controlling the governorship is eight...
...Inexplicably, Whitman is privately threatening massive tax increases now that the election is over...
...The Democrats did not gain one governorship in the November elections, and only narrowly held on to Kentucky, one of but nineteen states with a Democratic governor...
...They were in the middle of a media-assisted attack on the GOP budget and a scare campaign on Medicare...
...That number climbed to ten seats in 1987, eighteen in 1991, and now to twenty...
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...Yet Republicans maintained landslide majorities in both houses, which they first won in the wake 62 January 1996 • The American Spectator of former Gov...
...In the first six months of 1995 Republicans received S23 million, while Democrats pocketed only $11.7 million...
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...In Louisiana, Republican Mike Foster easily defeated the liberal Democrat Cleo Fields in a runoff election November 18...
...But, despite the major media spin, all evidence points to the contrary...
...Of course, if all they can muster in a Democratic state is a 51-49 win, they are in serious trouble...
...In the first six months of 1993, political action committees contributed $20.3 million to Democratic candidates and only $11.2 million to Republicans...
...If you still need confirmation that the Republican Party is the party of the future, you need only follow the money...
...The mounting number of switchers and retirements makes it very difficult for them to take back the House, and almost mathematically impossible for them to recapture the Senate...
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...Anderson points out that tracking polls showed that when the Democrats ran negative ads on the Republican Medicare reform plans, the numbers were fiat...
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...But on October 23 Patton announced he was "going negative" and that it was "not going to be pretty...
...Looking back from post-election 1996, they may remember their relatively mild losses in November as the good old days...
...In Indianapolis, popular Republican mayor Stephen Goldsmith won re-election with 56 percent of the vote, giving him a nice platform for his expected 1996 gubernatorial run...
...Christine Todd Whitman has kept her promise to cut income taxes 3o percent...
...These stinging setbacks come at what should have been the Democrats' finest hour...
...But the 1996 presidential and congressional elections will take place after the Republican budget has passed largely as written, and the scare campaign of the Democrats will have been proved false...
...Still, the Democratic National Committee immediately set to work to turn this mole hill into a mountain by pronouncing Patton's victory a repudiation of Gingrichism and the Republican budget proposal...
...Louisiana voters also passed term limits on state legislators by a margin of 75 percent to 25 percent, but Mississippi gave term limits a rare defeat, voting down an initiative (54-46) that would have limited the terms of local elected and appointed officials as well as state legislators...
...Meanwhile, Democrats continue to leave their party or retire...
...1-r The American Spectator • January 1996 63...
...To make things bleaker still for the hobbling Democratic Party, an unprecedented eight of their senators, along with twelve members of the House, have announced their retirement...
...In the last twentyGROVER G. NORQUIST is president of Americans for Tax Reform...
...In 1994 it worked for Ted Kennedy against Mitt Romney in Massachusetts, and for Lawton Chiles against Jeb Bush for the Florida governorship...
...In the first six months of 1995, individuals gave $57 million to Republicans and $20.9 million to Democrats...
...Four days before the mid-term election, Republican National Committee chairman Haley Barbour flew to Texas to attend a ceremony welcoming fourteen local party-switchers into the GOP, making a grand total of fifty-one Texas switchers —and 158 party-switchers nationwide—since Bill Clinton's election...
...Two more Texas congressmen may soon join the GOP, and one unexpected Democratic congressman from a neighboring state asked to meet with Newt Gingrich the day after the mid-term election...
...In New Jersey, Republicans maintained control of the state assembly with a margin of fifty Republicans to thirty Democrats, down from the pre-election margin of 53-27...
...Patton also kept Bill Clinton out of Kentucky during the campaign, and publicly stated that if the president continued his regulatory attacks on the tobacco industry, he would never vote for him again...
...Elsewhere, conservative Republican mayor Tom Fetzer was re-elected with a 6o-percent margin in Raleigh, North Carolina, a city full of students and state workers that has never been carried by Ronald Reagan or Jesse Helms...
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...At the presidential level, Bill Clinton may have already reached the $26 million ceiling in funds raised for his re-election run, which isn't surprising for an incumbent...
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Vol. 29 • January 1996 • No. 1
