NEWT'S LEGACY

FRUM, DAVID

NEWT'S LEGACY by David Frum It can seem so terribly unfair. Newt Gingrich led the Republicans to their first majority in the House of Representatives since 1955, and then to two successive...

...The abject disarray of the once-formidable conservative wing of the party is not entirely Gingrich's fault...
...Clinton had a big idea about Medicare...
...David Frum is a contributing editor to THE WEEKLY STANDARD and author of a forthcoming history of life in the 1970s, How We Got Here (Basic...
...This susceptibility explains why Gingrich got so caught up in fads and trends: He felt that if he squinted hard enough at them, he could detect the people's wishes...
...This made considerable tactical sense, but it left Republicans speechless and defenseless in their 19951996 battles with Bill Clinton...
...As Clinton again and again bested Gingrich, conservatives lost faith in the political appeal of their message...
...His reward for this record of accomplishment...
...After the perfunctory acknowledgment, he devotes most of his airtime to talking about what he imagines really did the trick: the discrediting of the Democratic leadership through scandals like Wright's...
...Their electorates are particular and local...
...That's how proposals like the repeal of the so-called marriage penalty (the higher tax rates faced by married couples with two incomes as compared to two equivalent single filers) and treating western water-use rights as private property protected by the Fifth Amendment came to move ahead of Reagan-style grand initiatives on the Republican agenda...
...But it is very largely his fault, and his interview nicely reminded viewers of how he led conservatives to their present unhappy pass...
...Because Gingrich lacked a unifying political vision of his own, he was susceptible to the sort of populism that postulates some hypothetical "will of the people" that politicians must detect and serve...
...Gingrich dutifully acknowledges that it was the errors of the Clinton administration—the health care plan, the tax increases, and gays in the mil-itary—that toppled the Democratic Congress in 1994, but he does not really believe it...
...In truth, nothing in politics happens spontaneously—which is why it proved such a catastrophe when Gingrich made the fateful decision in early 1998 to let the electorate lead Congress on the Lewinsky scandal, postponing action on Clinton's perjury for the eight fateful months until Ken Starr delivered his report...
...On the other hand, it all seemed rather less terribly unfair last week, when C-SPAN broadcast its three-segment interview with Gingrich...
...Congressmen from swing states, like Courter's New Jersey, lost their seats...
...But the clarity and power that comes from saying first we'll do this, then we'll do that, when this and that speak to the values and interests of tens of millions of people—that has been lost...
...Bush called for enlarging the federal Department of Education, imposing stricter federal supervision on state and local school systems, and limiting the role of vouchers to an emergency treatment for the worst-functioning districts...
...A leader who seeks to attain national power by building a congressional majority is naturally going to be inclined to shun the grand themes of a presidential candidate and instead try to identify issues that could move particular and local blocs of voters out of his opponent's coalition and into his own...
...In the C-SPAN interviews, Gingrich discusses at some length how he used television (C-SPAN, actually) as a weapon against Tip O'Neill...
...But what was dismaying about Gingrich's interview was not the reappearance of his familiar fondness for grandiose historical self-comparisons, but the reminder of how much he once promised conservatives—and how low they have since fallen...
...Even now, Gingrich's idea of an idea is, as he repeatedly stressed, delivering better health care at a lower cost...
...Until one has some notion of how the job can be done, that's an aspiration, not an idea...
...Congressmen from solid Republican states, like Mississippi's Trent Lott, ascended to the Senate...
...Believing in the truth of it had, however, immense consequences for the Gingrich-led conservative movement...
...Grand themes appeal to national electorates...
...Instead of tax cuts, the building of a post-Communist world order, equal justice under law regardless of race, the cultural and linguistic unity of the United States, or any of the dozen other powerful potential issues available to them in the mid-1990s, conservatives found themselves talking about term limits, a balanced budget amendment, House members' bank, the line-item veto, and a series of other issues equally remote from Americans' everyday concerns...
...But in the procedural politics that Gingrich sold to conservatives, ideas had only a weak independent existence...
...In those long-ago days, a Vin Weber or Jim Courter would have seemed as good a bet to recapture the speakership for the GOP—actually a better bet than Newt, since Gingrich was then widely seen as a flighty and undisciplined free-lancer...
...The logical culmination of this way of thinking was the Contract With America, which spent the energies of the biggest Republican congressional swing since 1894 on six months of votes on the internal governance of the House of Representatives...
...And once Clinton escaped punishment for his crimes, conservatives' uncontainable rage convinced them that his successor must be defeated, even at the price of nominating a Republican presidential candidate who owed conservatives little and liked them even less...
...Gingrich denounced Bush, and with that act positioned himself to lead the opposition to Bill Clinton after 1992...
...Jack Kemp's decision to seek a cabinet seat in the Bush administration—rather than challenge Mario Cuomo for the governorship of New York in 1990—and Kemp's unwillingness to resign that seat silenced the supply-sider when the senior Bush broke his no-new-taxes pledge...
...spurious ethics charges, anonymous quotes in the Washington Post from Republican congressmen about how much better things have worked since he quit the speakership, and a Republican front-runner for the presidential nomination that Gingrich coveted whose rhetoric is very largely intended to separate himself as widely as possible from the once all-conquering Newt...
...These stinging orations so irritated O'Neill that he ordered the House camera to pan the chamber during special orders so that viewers could see that nobody was listening—provoking such a ruckus that more people than ever tuned in...
...Congressmen, obviously, don't have national electorates...
...There may be some truth to this, although one wonders whether ethics charges could really produce the 10 million vote shift of 1994...
...Gingrich's indifference to the grand themes of a Ronald Reagan followed naturally from his approach to politics...
...Gingrich, Bob Walker, and other allies would use the quiet hours of "special orders" to give one-minute speeches in the well of the House denouncing the Democratic leadership...
...In trying to upend the congressional Democrats through procedural victories in Congress, Gingrich directed the reforming zeal of conservatives toward the procedures of Congress...
...It was an amusing parlor game, but it dangerously disparaged the importance of political leadership...
...Every leader remakes his movement in his own image, and between 1990 and 1998, Gingrich reshaped Republican conservatism...
...Gingrich's greatest parliamentary victory, of course, was his more or less single-handed bringing down of Democratic Speaker Jim Wright on corruption charges...
...To this day, conservatives have not recovered from Gingrich's downgrading of thematics...
...Much fun has been made of Gingrich's self-comparison to Henry Clay...
...Conservatives have dozens, even hundreds, of projects and concepts...
...Unlike his deal-making elders in the House leadership, Gingrich was a fighter, and he imbued conservatism with his own fierce com-bativeness...
...In 1999, for the first time since the 1940s, there is no generally accepted conservative agenda...
...In his 1992 speech to the Republican convention, he interpreted rising quality standards in the private sector as proof that the public had wearied of the bureaucratic welfare state...
...As the president framed his defense of Medicare in the broad language of ideals, Republicans were left sputtering that their so-called "cuts" amounted to barely a couple of dollars a month...
...Newt Gingrich led the Republicans to their first majority in the House of Representatives since 1955, and then to two successive majorities for the first time since the 1920s...
...But time and chance worked in his favor...
...Gingrich never did...
...Others despaired of perpetual minority status and quit politics altogether...
...As Gingrich's parliamentary tactics proved useless against the agenda-setting power of the president, conservatives came to doubt not merely their tactics, but their doctrines...
...By unfortunate coincidence, C-SPAN broadcast the third and final segment only four hours after it carried a major policy address by George W. Bush, a speech on education to the Latino Business Expo in Los Angeles...
...By 1990, Gingrich had become the unquestioned leader of the conservatives in the House...
...Gingrich taught a generation of conservative intellectuals to sleuth out the potential political implications of the success of particular movies, songs, and television shows...
...Through most of the 1980s, Gingrich had been just one of dozens of clever young congressmen who identified themselves with the excitement of the Reagan revolution...
...He forced welfare reform and a balanced budget onto President Clinton...
...It was the Reagan-Carter fight in reverse—principle vs...
...Four years ago, and certainly eight, a Republican candidate who took such a New Democrat approach to schooling would have provoked a mutiny on the right, but Bush has already pocketed the conservative vote, and his only serious competitor for the nomination is Elizabeth Dole, who has gravitated even further leftward...
...Gingrich's concept of fighting was the scoring of parliamentary victories to expose the high-handedness and corruption of the Democratic majority...
...technicalities...
...The Bush budget deal promoted him to conservative national leadership...
...In his 1984 book Window of Opportunity, he interpreted the success of the Star Wars movies as proof that Americans yearned for a renaissance of the space program...
...Throughout his C-SPAN interview, Gingrich referred to his passion for "ideas...

Vol. 4 • September 1999 • No. 48


 
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